JereÂmy StewÂart, Queen’s UniÂverÂsiÂty
@QuERBYLAB
Full TranÂscript:
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
Good. Okay. So just a couÂple of houseÂkeepÂing items before I get startÂed. First off, the talk is going to show some of my stimÂuli, and so those stimÂuli show peoÂple who preÂsumÂably or look like they’re makÂing suiÂcide attempts. So just as a heads up. The othÂer thing I want to direct you to is the QR code here, which is going to proÂvide access to recordÂing of the talk, my slides, and I showed again on the final slide. So what I’m going to be tackÂling in this talk are the potenÂtial clinÂiÂcal appliÂcaÂtions of MouÂseÂView to betÂter underÂstandÂing, and assessÂing suiÂciÂdal thoughts and behavÂiors. SuiÂcide is a seriÂous pubÂlic health conÂcern, of course, and it claims the lives of about 800,000 peoÂple worldÂwide every year. SpecifÂiÂcalÂly it’s the secÂond leadÂing cause of death among mid adoÂlesÂcents and young adults. Although suiÂcide ideation, which is defined as thoughts of killing yourÂself, affects roughÂly one in five youth, only 20 to 33% of young peoÂple tranÂsiÂtion from ideation to suiÂcide attempts.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
So idenÂtiÂfyÂing preÂdicÂtors of this key tranÂsiÂtion is critÂiÂcal for refinÂing suiÂcide risk assessÂment and for develÂopÂing tarÂgetÂed interÂvenÂtions. But a lot of the putaÂtive corÂreÂlates and preÂdicÂtors of suiÂcide, espeÂcialÂly in young peoÂple, they’re actuÂalÂly strongÂly relatÂed to suiÂcide ideation, but they show much weakÂer assoÂciÂaÂtions with suiÂciÂdal behavÂiors. So in light of this issue, some modÂern ideation to action theÂoÂries of suiÂcide, they proÂvide sepÂaÂrate explaÂnaÂtions for this iniÂtial onset of suiÂcide ideation, and then that shift from suiÂciÂdal thinkÂing to attempts. Although these theÂoÂries actuÂalÂly difÂfer in their specifics, this generÂic modÂel I’m showÂing incorÂpoÂrates the eleÂments that are shared among them. So genÂerÂalÂly the iniÂtial onset and escaÂlaÂtion of suiÂciÂdal thinkÂing is thought to be driÂven by cogÂniÂtive and affecÂtive variÂables, like hopeÂlessÂness and psyÂchoÂlogÂiÂcal pain. More gerÂmane to this preÂsenÂtaÂtion though, these theÂoÂries proÂpose that suiÂciÂdal actions, like planÂning and prepaÂraÂtion, as well as makÂing a suiÂcide attempt, they require the capaÂbilÂiÂty to die by suicide.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
SuiÂcide capaÂbilÂiÂty refers to one’s abilÂiÂty to overÂcome an innate and bioÂlogÂiÂcal driÂve for self-preserÂvaÂtion, in order to engage in potenÂtialÂly lethal self-directÂed injury. CapaÂbilÂiÂty has some pracÂtiÂcal aspects, like access to lethal means and knowlÂedge about how to use them. It also includes charÂacÂterÂisÂtics that are hypothÂeÂsized to be acquired through expeÂriÂence. My lab has focused on an acquired aspect of capaÂbilÂiÂty called FearÂlessÂness About Death. In these ideation action theÂoÂries they proÂpose that expoÂsure to risky, danÂgerÂous, and or potenÂtialÂly lethal expeÂriÂences that basiÂcalÂly habitÂuÂates peoÂple to the innate fear that suiÂcides should evoke. Then over time, peoÂple are thought to develÂop the fearÂlessÂness that’s necÂesÂsary to underÂtake suiÂciÂdal behavÂior. HowÂevÂer, eviÂdence for that direct link between FearÂlessÂness About Death or FAD, and suiÂciÂdal behavÂior is quite mixed. A recent review, for instance, reportÂed that only half of the studÂies found this hypothÂeÂsized assoÂciÂaÂtion and the meta anaÂlytÂic effect size here with small. One reaÂson for these inconÂsisÂtent results might be the wideÂspread pracÂtice of meaÂsurÂing capaÂbilÂiÂty with quesÂtionÂnaires that have poor psyÂchoÂmeÂtÂric properties.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
One issue is that most peoÂple can’t accuÂrateÂly estiÂmate or even fathÂom the fear they would expeÂriÂence if they were faced by their own immiÂnent death. That might underÂmine the validÂiÂty of quesÂtionÂnaire meaÂsures of someÂthing like FAD. There are also sevÂerÂal behavÂioral tasks that have been develÂoped to capÂture capaÂbilÂiÂty. Just as one examÂple, there’s a suiÂcide verÂsion of the Stroop task, and it assumes that greater interÂferÂence from suiÂcide words on perÂforÂmance is some kind of eviÂdence of attenÂtion being prefÂerÂenÂtialÂly directÂed to a suiÂcide conÂtent. PeoÂple have specÂuÂlatÂed that that might indiÂcate highÂer FAD, but reacÂtion time tasks, like the Stroop actuÂalÂly don’t meaÂsure attenÂtion directÂly, of course, and they’re also prone to conÂfounds. My colÂleagues and I have also recentÂly found that interÂferÂence on the SuiÂcide Stroop has low interÂnal conÂsisÂtenÂcy and poor test-retest reliÂaÂbilÂiÂty. So we’re very forÂtuÂnate to team up with Tom ArmÂstrong and his lab to improve the meaÂsureÂment of FAD by using eye-tracking.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
Dwell duraÂtion recordÂed by an eye trackÂer, as many of you might know, yields more difÂferÂenÂtiÂatÂed responsÂes to unpleasÂant stimÂuli than othÂer behavÂioral or even psyÂchophysÂiÂoÂlogÂiÂcal meaÂsures. So here it might capÂture suiÂcide speÂcifÂic respondÂing with greater preÂciÂsion. Dwell is also a more direct meaÂsure of over of attenÂtion, and it has strong psyÂchoÂmeÂtÂric propÂerÂties. So we used a simÂiÂlar, simÂple, pasÂsive viewÂing task that you saw on the priÂor talks, in which parÂticÂiÂpants see pairs of emoÂtionÂal and neuÂtral images, like the pair I have shown here. The emoÂtionÂal images includÂed suiÂcide relatÂed, threatÂenÂing, pleasÂant, as well as disÂgustÂing stimÂuli, and there were five images repÂreÂsentÂing each catÂeÂgoÂry. Each emoÂtionÂal image gets shown four times for 12 secÂonds in each triÂal. We record dwell duraÂtion, defined as how long a gaze is fixÂatÂed on each image with an eye tracker.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
Our valÂiÂdaÂtion study recruitÂed 140 stuÂdents and we over samÂpled for priÂor suiÂciÂdal behavÂiors. So the samÂple did include 28 peoÂple with a priÂor suiÂcide attempt, and 10 addiÂtionÂal stuÂdents reportÂed makÂing an interÂruptÂed attempt. Along with sevÂerÂal quesÂtionÂnaires they capÂtured demoÂgraphÂics and psyÂchiÂatric sympÂtoms. Excuse me. ParÂticÂiÂpants comÂpletÂed the suiÂcide ideation scale, which meaÂsures the intenÂsiÂty of thoughts of suiÂcide in the past week. That meaÂsure actuÂalÂly has two sepÂaÂrate sub-scales, on the one hand, there’s SuiÂciÂdal Desire that reflects hopeÂlessÂness and kind of a non-speÂcifÂic desire that life would end. The othÂer sub-scale is called Resolved Plans and prepaÂraÂtion, and that includes thoughts and actions that indiÂcate greater readiÂness to make a suiÂcide attempt. So turnÂing to the results, this figÂure depicts gaze behavÂior on suiÂcide image triÂals. The lines basiÂcalÂly repÂreÂsent how much parÂticÂiÂpants were fixÂatÂing on the suiÂcide images relÂaÂtive to neutral.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
So highÂer posÂiÂtive valÂues indiÂcate longer dwell time on the suiÂcide image. The triÂal time is dividÂed into 12 one secÂond epochs on the X axis, and the sepÂaÂrate lines show the patÂterns for each preÂsenÂtaÂtion of the image from first to fourth. So what you can see in the figÂure basiÂcalÂly is that there’s a sigÂnifÂiÂcant linÂear decrease in dwell on suiÂcide images relÂaÂtive to neuÂtral image across the epochs. What we’ve also found and reportÂed in this paper is that gaze behavÂior towards suiÂcide image seems to be disÂtinct from the patÂterns of viewÂing we see for othÂer emoÂtionÂal images. We also found that parÂticÂiÂpants who rate the suiÂcide images as subÂjecÂtiveÂly more frightÂenÂing and more disÂgustÂing, they tend to dwell less on suiÂcide images comÂpared to the neuÂtral images over the course of trials.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
So that supÂports the posÂsiÂbilÂiÂty that our task capÂtures cogÂniÂtive and effecÂtive processÂes that are relÂeÂvant to suiÂcide capaÂbilÂiÂty or fearÂlessÂness about death or both. We next examÂine whether gaze behavÂior towards suiÂcide images was assoÂciÂatÂed with indiÂvidÂual difÂferÂences in recent suiÂcide ideation severÂiÂty. So in this figÂure, you can see scores on resolved plans and prepaÂraÂtions on the Y axis, and on the X axis there’s a meaÂsure of overÂall gaze behavÂior that we use a lot called the ProÂporÂtion of Dwell Time on SuiÂcide Images, and this score ranges from zero to one. With equal viewÂing of the two images, the two catÂeÂgories of images yieldÂing a score of 0.5, and that’s shown in the green dotÂted line here. Scores above 0.5 indiÂcate longer viewÂing on the suiÂcide images.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
So what the figÂure shows then is a small, but staÂtisÂtiÂcalÂly sigÂnifÂiÂcant assoÂciÂaÂtion between dwell towards suiÂcide images and resolved plans and prepaÂraÂtions. GivÂen this subÂstanÂtial skew, you can see depictÂed here in the outÂcome variÂable. We also fit a regresÂsion modÂel with sevÂerÂal demoÂgraphÂic and clinÂiÂcal covariÂates, and we used a perÂcentile bootÂstrapÂping approach. The effect remains staÂtisÂtiÂcalÂly sigÂnifÂiÂcant. Also dwell duraÂtion on the othÂer emoÂtionÂal images wasÂn’t sigÂnifÂiÂcantÂly relatÂed to resolved plans and prepaÂraÂtions. We conÂductÂed the same analyÂsis on suiÂciÂdal desire, and that’s depictÂed here on the Y axis again. The proÂporÂtion of dwell on suiÂcide images, wasÂn’t by variÂantÂly assoÂciÂatÂed with suiÂciÂdal desire. The effect was also non-sigÂnifÂiÂcant in the mulÂtiÂvariÂate bootÂstrapped regresÂsion models.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
In fact, dwell behavÂior in genÂerÂal, regardÂless of the catÂeÂgoÂry of emoÂtionÂal image wasÂn’t assoÂciÂatÂed with suiÂciÂdal desire in our samÂple. TurnÂing now to parÂticÂiÂpants hisÂtoÂry of suiÂciÂdal behavÂior. This figÂure has the proÂporÂtion of dwell on suiÂcide images this time on the Y axis, and the numÂber of priÂor suiÂcide attempts on the X axis. The boxÂes repÂreÂsent the disÂtriÂbÂuÂtion of dwell withÂin each bin of lifeÂtime attempts. So mediÂan and dwell toward suiÂcide images, which is repÂreÂsentÂed by the dark lines disÂsectÂing each box. You can see that it increasÂes with the numÂber of priÂor attempts. In fact, when you anaÂlyze that in a negÂaÂtive binoÂmiÂal regresÂsion modÂel, as we did, greater dwell time on suiÂcide images is assoÂciÂatÂed with a greater rate of past lifeÂtime attempts.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
FinalÂly, we invesÂtiÂgatÂed suiÂciÂdal intent among the 28 suiÂcide attempts there in our samÂple. In line with what ideation to action frameÂworks would preÂdict, greater dwell towards suiÂcide images was assoÂciÂatÂed with highÂer self-reportÂed suiÂciÂdal intent among the attempters. I’m susÂpendÂing major inferÂences, of course, until this is repliÂcatÂed in a much largÂer samÂple. But again, we find that the effect for suiÂcide images was not sigÂnifÂiÂcant. SorÂry. The effect on intent was not sigÂnifÂiÂcant for any othÂer type of emoÂtionÂal image we used. Okay. So to sumÂmaÂrize, the parÂticÂiÂpants in this study looked away from suiÂcide images over time when they had the option to look elseÂwhere, at least on averÂage. HowÂevÂer, those who ratÂed suiÂcide images as less averÂsive dwelled on them longer.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
So this patÂtern of results sugÂgests that our dwelled time meaÂsure might be capÂturÂing some imporÂtant indiÂvidÂual difÂferÂences in someÂthing like fearÂlessÂness about death. Like othÂer averÂsive or unpleasÂant stimÂuli, suiÂcide images could iniÂtialÂly capÂture attenÂtion, but ultiÂmateÂly evoke perÂcepÂtuÂal avoidÂance over time. Those with greater FAD, for instance, might engage in less ocuÂlar motor avoidÂance than peoÂple with lowÂer FAD. Greater dwell on suiÂcide, but not any othÂer type of emoÂtionÂal image we used was assoÂciÂatÂed with suiÂcide planÂning and prepaÂraÂtion with priÂor lifeÂtime attempts, and with suiÂcide intent among those with a hisÂtoÂry of suiÂciÂdal behavÂiors. ReturnÂing to that ideation to action frameÂwork, dwell on suiÂcide images was specifÂiÂcalÂly assoÂciÂatÂed with behavÂiors that preÂtend highÂly felony suiÂcide attempts or dying by suicide.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
UltiÂmateÂly, this type of meaÂsure could have immense clinÂiÂcal utilÂiÂty for guidÂing treatÂment and folÂlow up deciÂsions for suiÂcide ideators in psyÂchiÂatric setÂtings. Of course, COVID-19 realÂly forced our hands and necesÂsiÂtatÂed an online soluÂtion for keepÂing, what I think is a promisÂing line of research going. ForÂtuÂnateÂly, as we’ve seen today from both Alex and Sonya, there’s already excitÂing eviÂdence that attenÂtion trackÂing in MouÂseÂView is strongÂly assoÂciÂatÂed with dwell time meaÂsures recordÂed with eye trackÂing, using simÂiÂlar free viewÂing tasks as we did. So we’re curÂrentÂly runÂning a study that’s hostÂed in GorilÂla in which we present pairs of images, like the ones to the botÂtom left of the slide here, and we record gaze with MouseView.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
So far, we’ve recruitÂed 170 parÂticÂiÂpants. We have 69 with a hisÂtoÂry of suiÂciÂdal thoughts and behavÂiors, and we expect to meet our tarÂget samÂple of 250 in the fall. So far, I wish I had data to report, I don’t, but the task is intuÂitive and it’s acceptÂable to most parÂticÂiÂpants. The perÂcentÂage of unusÂable triÂals is simÂiÂlar to our in-perÂson study. Once the study is comÂplete, we’re excitÂed to test whether the most few verÂsion of the task shows the same patÂtern of assoÂciÂaÂtions with recent suiÂciÂdal thoughts and lifeÂtime suiÂciÂdal behavÂiors, as we saw in our in-perÂson study. If that indeed hapÂpens and we find the MouÂseÂView verÂsion of the task is senÂsiÂtive to key indiÂcaÂtors of suiÂcide capaÂbilÂiÂty. There are imporÂtant impliÂcaÂtions for just how we study suicide.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
SuiÂciÂdal behavÂiors of course have low base rates in the genÂerÂal popÂuÂlaÂtions. So studÂies require very large samÂple sizes to conÂduct the comÂplex and detailed research that we need to inform preÂvenÂtion. Because of this most research invesÂtiÂgatÂing behavÂioral and neurÂal corÂreÂlates of suiÂciÂdal behavÂiors in parÂticÂuÂlar, uses small clinÂiÂcal samÂples in which the rates of suiÂciÂdal behavÂiors are much highÂer, or they enrich smallÂer samÂples by overÂsamÂpling for suiÂciÂdal behavÂiors, like we did. LimÂitÂed staÂtisÂtiÂcal powÂer in many studÂies likeÂly conÂtributes to a modÂest expectÂed repliÂcaÂtion rate for studÂies on suiÂciÂdal thoughts and behavÂiors. I have a forÂmer stuÂdent named BranÂdon Lamb, and he’s workÂing on a project that directÂly assessÂes the replicÂaÂbilÂiÂty of work in our field. So far he estiÂmates that about two thirds of existÂing studÂies would repliÂcate, and he also finds eviÂdence for an inflatÂed false disÂcovÂery rate in these studies.
JereÂmy G. StewÂart:
I think MouÂseÂView proÂvides an espeÂcialÂly promisÂing soluÂtion for this issue. So if we find eviÂdence that this task is a valid meaÂsure of suiÂcide cogÂniÂtion, the online delivÂery forÂmat is scalÂable so that it could be adminÂisÂtered to nationÂalÂly repÂreÂsenÂtaÂtive samÂples of thouÂsands. That would yield critÂiÂcal inforÂmaÂtion about the genÂerÂalÂizÂabilÂiÂty of our meaÂsure, and its utilÂiÂty for underÂstandÂing and preÂdictÂing suiÂcide risk. We think, at least preÂlimÂiÂnarÂiÂly that this is quite feaÂsiÂble because of the sucÂcess that othÂer research groups have had with adminÂisÂterÂing online behavÂioral tasks to large samÂples. For examÂple, Project ImplicÂit, which is led by Bethany TeachÂman, Matt Nock, and sevÂerÂal othÂers. ActuÂalÂly adminÂisÂtered a death suiÂcide verÂsion of the ImplicÂit AssoÂciÂaÂtion Test to volÂunÂteers through their webÂsite. I think that we could valÂiÂdate our MouÂseÂView task in a very simÂiÂlar way. So I’ll leave it there. I’ll end by acknowlÂedgÂing fundÂing sources for this work, my stuÂdents, and of course my colÂlabÂoÂraÂtors, includÂing Tom. Thank you.


